Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

352.87 – 385.23

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

295 – 477

Prediction correct · off by 74.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 486 ±11.7

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 199.7Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9400BagelBytes

Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 109.2Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9111Pyro Mechanics

Season APEX 100Event APEX 43.97Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 584.8 ±9.8

4698Raider Robotics

Season APEX 283Event APEX 150.11Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 183.36Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 51.76Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 841, 9400, 9111

/ 100 compat

Projected

352.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 841, 9400, 9111

Auto

40.8 12%

Teleop

206.1 60%

Endgame

98.1 28%

Strengths

· 841 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4698, 6962, 192

/ 100 compat

Projected

385.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4698, 6962, 192

Auto

73.2 20%

Teleop

225.6 60%

Endgame

75.9 20%

Strengths

· 6962 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score352.9pts

Blue projected score385.2pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.4
Score range: 322–416
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 772 vs event baseline 172.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

486Season APEX584.8

40.8Auto73.2

206.1Teleop225.6

98.1Endgame75.9

0Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	87
teleop	139	266
endgame	102	124
foul	0	0
total	295	477

Result

Final score

295 – 477

Prediction correct · off by 74.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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