Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
CA District East Bay Event

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

271.35 – 224.85

64%36%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 234

Prediction missed · off by 72.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.3 ±12.2
10281MechaWolves
D
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 61.9Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
6962Antares
B
Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 196.11Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4973Gator Gears
D
Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 13.34Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432.4 ±10.5
3256WarriorBorgs
A
Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 199.14Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4255Robodores
D
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 7.36Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
10339BrainShift
C
Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 18.35Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10281, 6962, 4973
78
/ 100 compat
Projected
271.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10281, 6962, 4973
Auto
31.9 12%
Teleop
171.1 64%
Endgame
62.7 24%
Strengths
  • · 6962 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3256, 4255, 10339
75
/ 100 compat
Projected
224.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3256, 4255, 10339
Auto
62.1 27%
Teleop
125.4 55%
Endgame
40.1 18%
Strengths
  • · 3256 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score271.3pts
Blue projected score224.9pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
46.5
Score range
194–302
Upset likelihood
36%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 172.5.

← PreviousNext →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.3Season APEX432.4
31.9Auto62.1
171.1Teleop125.4
62.7Endgame40.1
0Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2085
teleop7481
endgame4268
foul00
total136234

Result

Final score

136 – 234

Prediction missed · off by 72.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.