Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.9 – 93.51

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.9 ±14.9

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 53.3Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5027Event Horizon (5027)

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX -17.32Rank 39Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7245LionBot Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 33.92Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.8 ±13.3

9111Pyro Mechanics

Season APEX 100Event APEX 40.59Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11274Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 22.59Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1700Gatorbotics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 30.33Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 192, 5027, 7245

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 192, 5027, 7245

Auto

8.7 13%

Teleop

48.2 70%

Endgame

12.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9111, 11274, 1700

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9111, 11274, 1700

Auto

31.5 37%

Teleop

36.4 43%

Endgame

17.4 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.9pts

Blue projected score93.5pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.6
Score range: 39–125
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 195 vs event baseline 174.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.9Season APEX221.8

8.7Auto31.5

48.2Teleop36.4

12.1Endgame17.4

38Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	26
teleop	47	40
endgame	4	26
foul	0	35
total	68	127

Result

Final score

68 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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