Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

319.75 – 99.53

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 450.2 ±11.2

972Iron Claw

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 165.83Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9400BagelBytes

Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 107.87Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4669Galileo Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 46.05Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201 ±13.3

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 46.72Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11230White Hat Hackers

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 13.72Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4904Bot-Provoking

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX 39.09Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 972, 9400, 4669

/ 100 compat

Projected

319.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 972, 9400, 4669

Auto

41.7 13%

Teleop

186.2 60%

Endgame

83.9 27%

Strengths

· 972 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 199, 11230, 4904

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 199, 11230, 4904

Auto

26.3 32%

Teleop

33.4 40%

Endgame

23.5 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score319.8pts

Blue projected score99.5pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 220.2
Score range: 69–351
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 504 vs event baseline 172.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

450.2Season APEX201

41.7Auto26.3

186.2Teleop33.4

83.9Endgame23.5

30Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	37
teleop	243	71
endgame	54	48
foul	0	0
total	348	156

Result

Final score

348 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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