Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

195.27 – 61.82

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

245 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 50 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.1 ±11.7

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 196.16Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 13.86Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10372THE ANTS

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX -14.75Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.3 ±13.3

4255Robodores

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 5.6Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4186Alameda Aztechs Robotics

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 42.94Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10615Spartan110

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 13.28Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6962, 10339, 10372

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6962, 10339, 10372

Auto

32.0 16%

Teleop

118.4 60%

Endgame

45.7 23%

Strengths

· 6962 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4255, 4186, 10615

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4255, 4186, 10615

Auto

2.9 5%

Teleop

39.8 63%

Endgame

20.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195.3pts

Blue projected score61.8pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.5
Score range: 32–225
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 357 vs event baseline 169.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.1Season APEX204.3

32Auto2.9

118.4Teleop39.8

45.7Endgame20

20Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	15
teleop	136	72
endgame	59	25
foul	15	0
total	245	112

Result

Final score

245 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 50 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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