Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

339.58 – 85.75

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

372 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 544.4 ±10.5

8852Drew Robotics

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 114.36Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4698Raider Robotics

Season APEX 283Event APEX 155.92Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2204Rambots

Season APEX 109.9Event APEX 69.3Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 159.8 ±13.9

8045The Wallace Dynasty

Season APEX 57Event APEX 5.75Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10644West Coast Warriors

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 36.17Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7245LionBot Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 43.83Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8852, 4698, 2204

/ 100 compat

Projected

339.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8852, 4698, 2204

Auto

67.9 22%

Teleop

189.4 60%

Endgame

57.4 18%

Strengths

· 4698 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8045, 10644, 7245

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8045, 10644, 7245

Auto

19.4 22%

Teleop

34.3 39%

Endgame

33.6 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score339.6pts

Blue projected score85.8pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 253.8
Score range: 55–371
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 171.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

544.4Season APEX159.8

67.9Auto19.4

189.4Teleop34.3

57.4Endgame33.6

0Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	4
teleop	213	18
endgame	56	10
foul	15	0
total	372	32

Result

Final score

372 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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