Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

113.06 – 0

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

133 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 27.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.7 ±11

1854The Chomp Bots

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 51.28Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6814Ellipse

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 6.83Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 54.95Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 124.8 ±15.8

10221#1 Sea Bass

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX -22.31Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5027Event Horizon (5027)

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX -27.04Rank 39Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4669Galileo Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 44.24Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1854, 6814, 192

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1854, 6814, 192

Auto

17.3 15%

Teleop

57.5 49%

Endgame

43.7 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10221, 5027, 4669

/ 100 compat

Projected

-5.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10221, 5027, 4669

Auto

-3.0 83%

Teleop

-11.2 100%

Endgame

10.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.1pts

Blue projected score-5.1pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.1
Score range: -31–144
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 168 vs event baseline 171.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

255.7Season APEX124.8

17.3Auto-3

57.5Teleop-11.2

43.7Endgame10.6

62Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	19
teleop	75	16
endgame	35	0
foul	0	0
total	133	35

Result

Final score

133 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 27.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.