Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
79.78 – 234.11
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
82 – 324
Prediction correct · off by 46.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 35.15Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 35.79Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 8.84Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 94.02Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 34.64Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 105.45Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11274, 2551, 10339
41
/ 100 compatProjected
79.8 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 11274, 2551, 10339
Auto
22.9 29%
Teleop
40.4 52%
Endgame
14.4 19%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6418, 4186, 9400
76
/ 100 compatProjected
234.1 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6418, 4186, 9400
Auto
37.1 16%
Teleop
144.4 62%
Endgame
51.7 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.4
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score79.8pts
Blue projected score234.1pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -154.3
- Score range
- 50–264
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
217.7Season APEX407.7
22.9Auto37.1
40.4Teleop144.4
14.4Endgame51.7
0Consistency43
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 38 |
| teleop | 28 | 215 |
| endgame | 28 | 41 |
| foul | 5 | 30 |
| total | 82 | 324 |
Result
Final score
82 – 324
Prediction correct · off by 46.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.