Qualification · Qualification 50
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
72.53 – 103.15
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
110 – 74
Prediction missed · off by 33.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 17.4Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 54.53Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 0.6Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.1 ±12.8
Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 14.86Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 49.98Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 38.31Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11230, 192, 10615
37
/ 100 compatProjected
72.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11230, 192, 10615
Auto
17.8 26%
Teleop
40.9 61%
Endgame
8.8 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6814, 7245, 2551
40
/ 100 compatProjected
103.2 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6814, 7245, 2551
Auto
6.4 6%
Teleop
67.6 64%
Endgame
31.2 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score72.5pts
Blue projected score103.2pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -30.6
- Score range
- 42–134
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
240.5Season APEX182.1
17.8Auto6.4
40.9Teleop67.6
8.8Endgame31.2
28Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 14 |
| teleop | 68 | 29 |
| endgame | 24 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 110 | 74 |
Result
Final score
110 – 74
Prediction missed · off by 33.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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