Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.5 – 286.27

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

117 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 45.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.8 ±13.3

5499Bearium

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 50.96Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6918Napa Cellar Rats

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 15.94Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4973Gator Gears

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 22.6Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.9 ±12.8

10644West Coast Warriors

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 37.52Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 206.72Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11274Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 42.03Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5499, 6918, 4973

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5499, 6918, 4973

Auto

21.5 23%

Teleop

53.0 56%

Endgame

19.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10644, 841, 11274

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10644, 841, 11274

Auto

30.7 11%

Teleop

182.9 65%

Endgame

69.9 25%

Strengths

· 841 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89.5pts

Blue projected score286.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -196.8
Score range: 60–316
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 169.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.8Season APEX333.9

21.5Auto30.7

53Teleop182.9

19.4Endgame69.9

49Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	37
teleop	66	106
endgame	29	79
foul	5	0
total	117	222

Result

Final score

117 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 45.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.