Qualification · Qualification 39
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
267.57 – 121.78
86%14%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
264 – 121
Prediction correct · off by 2.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 519.5 ±10.5
Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 37.76Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 103.6Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 283Event APEX 126.21Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 299.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 101.58Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 13.31Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 6.89Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5171, 9400, 4698
83
/ 100 compatProjected
267.6 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5171, 9400, 4698
Auto
55.6 21%
Teleop
134.9 51%
Endgame
74.9 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8852, 10615, 6814
50
/ 100 compatProjected
121.8 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8852, 10615, 6814
Auto
25.4 21%
Teleop
73.1 60%
Endgame
22.9 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score267.6pts
Blue projected score121.8pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 145.8
- Score range
- 92–298
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
519.5Season APEX299.9
55.6Auto25.4
134.9Teleop73.1
74.9Endgame22.9
14Consistency59
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 82 | 8 |
| teleop | 116 | 72 |
| endgame | 31 | 41 |
| foul | 35 | 0 |
| total | 264 | 121 |
Result
Final score
264 – 121
Prediction correct · off by 2.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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