Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.88 – 290.48

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 373

Prediction correct · off by 45.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.8 ±14.4

5027Event Horizon (5027)

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX -10.12Rank 39Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5419Berkelium

Season APEX 98.9Event APEX 51.27Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1854The Chomp Bots

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 47.73Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.9 ±11.2

9400BagelBytes

Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 97.43Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 186.09Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7245LionBot Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 6.96Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5027, 5419, 1854

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5027, 5419, 1854

Auto

25.4 29%

Teleop

28.4 33%

Endgame

33.0 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9400, 3256, 7245

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9400, 3256, 7245

Auto

64.2 22%

Teleop

174.2 59%

Endgame

56.2 19%

Strengths

· 3256 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.9pts

Blue projected score290.5pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -201.6
Score range: 58–321
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 471 vs event baseline 172.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.8Season APEX489.9

25.4Auto64.2

28.4Teleop174.2

33Endgame56.2

72Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	76
teleop	53	219
endgame	26	78
foul	0	0
total	98	373

Result

Final score

98 – 373

Prediction correct · off by 45.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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