Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

137.78 – 140.31

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

239 – 115

Prediction missed · off by 63.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.8 ±12.4

972Iron Claw

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 173.06Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10372THE ANTS

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX -46.59Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11230White Hat Hackers

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 11.31Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.9 ±12.2

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 77.85Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2473Goldstrikers

Season APEX 60.5Event APEX 37.23Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6918Napa Cellar Rats

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 25.23Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 972, 10372, 11230

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 972, 10372, 11230

Auto

31.6 24%

Teleop

74.1 56%

Endgame

26.5 20%

Strengths

· 972 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 192, 2473, 6918

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 192, 2473, 6918

Auto

20.6 15%

Teleop

78.9 56%

Endgame

40.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score137.8pts

Blue projected score140.3pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2.5
Score range: 107–171
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 170.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.8Season APEX252.9

31.6Auto20.6

74.1Teleop78.9

26.5Endgame40.6

108Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	22
teleop	147	52
endgame	54	41
foul	0	0
total	239	115

Result

Final score

239 – 115

Prediction missed · off by 63.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.