Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

144.75 – 133.11

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

150 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.7 ±13.3

10644West Coast Warriors

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 49.49Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10281MechaWolves

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 11.68Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 83.58Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.8 ±15.8

11274Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 40.42Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4669Galileo Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 50.86Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10500Lodestar

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 41.83Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10644, 10281, 199

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10644, 10281, 199

Auto

15.6 11%

Teleop

69.1 47%

Endgame

62.2 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11274, 4669, 10500

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11274, 4669, 10500

Auto

17.7 13%

Teleop

66.4 50%

Endgame

48.9 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score144.8pts

Blue projected score133.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.6
Score range: 102–176
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 224 vs event baseline 173.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.7Season APEX177.8

15.6Auto17.7

69.1Teleop66.4

62.2Endgame48.9

184Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	18
teleop	83	28
endgame	56	28
foul	0	0
total	150	74

Result

Final score

150 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.