Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.88 – 105.78

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

243 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.8 ±12.2

7245LionBot Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 1.38Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 71.25Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8852Drew Robotics

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 104.25Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.4 ±12.2

5499Bearium

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 62.22Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 79.67Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10372THE ANTS

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX -36.11Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7245, 6418, 8852

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7245, 6418, 8852

Auto

53.6 29%

Teleop

106.9 58%

Endgame

22.8 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5499, 192, 10372

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5499, 192, 10372

Auto

14.5 13%

Teleop

45.2 42%

Endgame

48.6 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.9pts

Blue projected score105.8pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.1
Score range: 76–207
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 168.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.8Season APEX287.4

53.6Auto14.5

106.9Teleop45.2

22.8Endgame48.6

47Consistency113

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	10
teleop	183	49
endgame	13	4
foul	0	0
total	243	63

Result

Final score

243 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.