Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

257 – 91.27

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

171 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 336 ±12.2

1700Gatorbotics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 14.77Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6918Napa Cellar Rats

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 41.22Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 201.01Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.4 ±13.9

11230White Hat Hackers

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 12.92Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8045The Wallace Dynasty

Season APEX 57Event APEX 43.94Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9111Pyro Mechanics

Season APEX 100Event APEX 34.41Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1700, 6918, 6962

/ 100 compat

Projected

257 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1700, 6918, 6962

Auto

28.7 11%

Teleop

166.7 65%

Endgame

60.9 24%

Strengths

· 6962 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11230, 8045, 9111

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11230, 8045, 9111

Auto

30.2 33%

Teleop

32.9 36%

Endgame

29.0 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score257pts

Blue projected score91.3pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 165.7
Score range: 60–288
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 172.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

336Season APEX212.4

28.7Auto30.2

166.7Teleop32.9

60.9Endgame29

21Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	21
teleop	113	16
endgame	14	4
foul	0	15
total	171	56

Result

Final score

171 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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