Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
80.21 – 485.74
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
86 – 490
Prediction correct · off by 5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.7 ±13.3
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 1.46Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 0.78Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 77.97Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 656.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 109.35Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 183.51Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 192.88Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7245, 4255, 199
40
/ 100 compatProjected
80.2 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7245, 4255, 199
Auto
0.8 1%
Teleop
39.9 51%
Endgame
37.7 48%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8852, 841, 3256
85
/ 100 compatProjected
485.7 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 8852, 841, 3256
Auto
77.3 16%
Teleop
314.4 65%
Endgame
88.5 18%
Strengths
- · 3256 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score80.2pts
Blue projected score485.7pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 14%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -405.5
- Score range
- 50–516
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
170.7Season APEX656.6
0.8Auto77.3
39.9Teleop314.4
37.7Endgame88.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 97 |
| teleop | 52 | 302 |
| endgame | 26 | 91 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 86 | 490 |
Result
Final score
86 – 490
Prediction correct · off by 5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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