Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

236.94 – 52.59

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

468 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 199.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 478.8 ±13.9

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 137.32Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10500Lodestar

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX -19.32Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 118.94Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.5 ±12.7

1854The Chomp Bots

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX -9.48Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8852Drew Robotics

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 55.07Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11274Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 7Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6962, 10500, 841

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6962, 10500, 841

Auto

47.2 20%

Teleop

169.4 73%

Endgame

15.8 7%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1854, 8852, 11274

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1854, 8852, 11274

Auto

16.3 31%

Teleop

34.5 65%

Endgame

2.6 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score236.9pts

Blue projected score52.6pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184.4
Score range: 22–268
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 688 vs event baseline 169.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

478.8Season APEX269.5

47.2Auto16.3

169.4Teleop34.5

15.8Endgame2.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	44
teleop	285	135
endgame	153	41
foul	5	0
total	468	220

Result

Final score

468 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 199.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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