Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
88.22 – 162.94
28%72%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
108 – 316
Prediction correct · off by 86.4 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 12.95Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 57.89Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 17.38Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.5 ±12.4
Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 15.46Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 283Event APEX 145.62Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 1.86Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10372, 4669, 199
50
/ 100 compatProjected
88.2 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10372, 4669, 199
Auto
15.7 18%
Teleop
49.4 56%
Endgame
23.1 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2551, 4698, 4186
66
/ 100 compatProjected
162.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2551, 4698, 4186
Auto
31.5 20%
Teleop
96.3 61%
Endgame
31.0 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.09
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score88.2pts
Blue projected score162.9pts
Red win probability28%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -74.7
- Score range
- 57–194
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
214.1Season APEX430.5
15.7Auto31.5
49.4Teleop96.3
23.1Endgame31
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 38 |
| teleop | 53 | 190 |
| endgame | 42 | 88 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 108 | 316 |
Result
Final score
108 – 316
Prediction correct · off by 86.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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