Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
403.83 – 414.79
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
220 – 364
Prediction correct · off by 117.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.5 ±10.7
Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 23.63Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 202.74Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 177.46Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 571.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 207.12Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 39.93Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 283Event APEX 167.74Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10615, 3256, 972
80
/ 100 compatProjected
403.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10615, 3256, 972
Auto
83.8 21%
Teleop
239.3 59%
Endgame
80.8 20%
Strengths
- · 3256 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 841, 1854, 4698
81
/ 100 compatProjected
414.8 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 841, 1854, 4698
Auto
70.4 17%
Teleop
236.0 58%
Endgame
98.9 24%
Strengths
- · 841 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score403.8pts
Blue projected score414.8pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -11
- Score range
- 370–449
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
583.5Season APEX571.1
83.8Auto70.4
239.3Teleop236
80.8Endgame98.9
1Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 71 | 84 |
| teleop | 82 | 184 |
| endgame | 67 | 96 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 220 | 364 |
Result
Final score
220 – 364
Prediction correct · off by 117.3 pts
Match videos
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