Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

379.26 – 255.83

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

393 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 609.9 ±9.8

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 136.54Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 194.64Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6305Stable Circuits

Season APEX 93.6Event APEX 48.08Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419.8 ±11

6822THE SHISHKABOTS

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 7.47Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1388Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 123.23Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 125.13Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3970, 973, 6305

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3970, 973, 6305

Auto

72.7 20%

Teleop

195.9 54%

Endgame

96.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6822, 1388, 5817

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6822, 1388, 5817

Auto

59.3 23%

Teleop

139.3 55%

Endgame

55.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score379.3pts

Blue projected score255.8pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.4
Score range: 213–422
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 575 vs event baseline 239.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

609.9Season APEX419.8

72.7Auto59.3

195.9Teleop139.3

96Endgame55.9

5Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	48
teleop	230	82
endgame	60	37
foul	5	15
total	393	182

Result

Final score

393 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 pts

Match videos

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