Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

674.4 – 161.72

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

703 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 63.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 891.7 ±9.9

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 317.51Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2367Lancer Robotics

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 18.07Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 338.82Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.4 ±10.4

3925Ventura Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 38.11Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

766M-A Bears

Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 63.26Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

114Eaglestrike

Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 60.35Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1323, 2367, 254

/ 100 compat

Projected

674.4 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1323, 2367, 254

Auto

113.4 17%

Teleop

400.0 60%

Endgame

149.5 23%

Strengths

· 254 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3925, 766, 114

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3925, 766, 114

Auto

31.9 22%

Teleop

85.8 58%

Endgame

29.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score674.4pts

Blue projected score161.7pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 512.7
Score range: 120–716
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 964 vs event baseline 234.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

891.7Season APEX369.4

113.4Auto31.9

400Teleop85.8

149.5Endgame29.5

0Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	149	31
teleop	411	132
endgame	138	98
foul	5	0
total	703	261

Result

Final score

703 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 63.9 pts

Match videos

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