Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.68 – 173.19

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 24.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.4 ±11.6

8768CTEC Titans

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX -10.54Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 56.83Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 54.39Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.1 ±11.6

100The Wildhats

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 39.02Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

840Aragon Robotics Team

Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 107.25Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 26.92Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8768, 8793, 9584

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8768, 8793, 9584

Auto

15.6 16%

Teleop

51.6 52%

Endgame

32.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 100, 840, 6657

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 100, 840, 6657

Auto

34.8 21%

Teleop

88.4 52%

Endgame

45.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.7pts

Blue projected score173.2pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -72.5
Score range: 58–216
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 323 vs event baseline 236.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.4Season APEX295.1

15.6Auto34.8

51.6Teleop88.4

32.8Endgame45.9

0Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	45
teleop	52	75
endgame	59	37
foul	0	30
total	136	187

Result

Final score

136 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 24.6 pts

Match videos

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