Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.92 – 179.66

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

193 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 419.8 ±11

6822THE SHISHKABOTS

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 13.67Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1388Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 129.03Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 131.22Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.1 ±11.6

100The Wildhats

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 41.64Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

840Aragon Robotics Team

Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 108.97Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 29.05Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6822, 1388, 5817

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6822, 1388, 5817

Auto

65.8 24%

Teleop

142.9 53%

Endgame

62.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 100, 840, 6657

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 100, 840, 6657

Auto

37.1 21%

Teleop

89.4 50%

Endgame

51.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score273.9pts

Blue projected score179.7pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.3
Score range: 137–317
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 238.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

419.8Season APEX295.1

65.8Auto37.1

142.9Teleop89.4

62.7Endgame51.2

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	23
teleop	123	80
endgame	36	23
foul	0	15
total	193	141

Result

Final score

193 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.