Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.17 – 204.93

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

83 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 33.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.5 ±11.6

6822THE SHISHKABOTS

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 19.52Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 36Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1671Buchanan Bird Brains

Season APEX 267.1Event APEX 63.65Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.8 ±11.7

4765PWRUP

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 44.86Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3925Ventura Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 37.2Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 122.87Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6822, 6657, 1671

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6822, 6657, 1671

Auto

26.9 24%

Teleop

49.9 45%

Endgame

34.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4765, 3925, 3970

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4765, 3925, 3970

Auto

40.3 21%

Teleop

102.0 54%

Endgame

47.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.2pts

Blue projected score204.9pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.8
Score range: 76–248
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 318 vs event baseline 236.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.5Season APEX375.8

26.9Auto40.3

49.9Teleop102

34.7Endgame47.9

27Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	55
teleop	11	109
endgame	44	56
foul	0	15
total	83	235

Result

Final score

83 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 33.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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