Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
152.07 – 36.66
81%19%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
114 – 138
Prediction missed · off by 69.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.6 ±11.6
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 46.7Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.9Event APEX 38.11Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 67.26Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.8 ±14.9
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -28.47Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 72Event APEX 14.59Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 50.54Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1351, 5700, 9584
42
/ 100 compatProjected
152.1 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1351, 5700, 9584
Auto
25.6 17%
Teleop
98.6 66%
Endgame
25.0 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4643, 11296, 114
6
/ 100 compatProjected
36.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4643, 11296, 114
Auto
42.2 100%
Teleop
0.7 2%
Endgame
-8.0 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score152.1pts
Blue projected score36.7pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample134alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 115.4
- Score range
- -6–195
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
275.6Season APEX251.8
25.6Auto42.2
98.6Teleop0.7
25Endgame-8
7Consistency5
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 28 |
| teleop | 55 | 64 |
| endgame | 35 | 46 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 114 | 138 |
Result
Final score
114 – 138
Prediction missed · off by 69.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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