Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

391.03 – 127.54

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

326 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 565.9 ±10.5

2367Lancer Robotics

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 9.29Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 316.03Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

766M-A Bears

Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 65.71Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.1 ±11.6

9706R^3 (Redwood Ranger Robotics)

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 12.29Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 68.22Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

100The Wildhats

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 47.03Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2367, 1323, 766

/ 100 compat

Projected

391 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2367, 1323, 766

Auto

68.8 18%

Teleop

235.5 62%

Endgame

73.6 19%

Strengths

· 1323 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9706, 8793, 100

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9706, 8793, 100

Auto

16.0 14%

Teleop

62.1 53%

Endgame

39.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.65 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score391pts

Blue projected score127.5pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 263.5
Score range: 85–434
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 434 vs event baseline 239.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

565.9Season APEX280.1

68.8Auto16

235.5Teleop62.1

73.6Endgame39.1

69Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	23
teleop	184	52
endgame	118	33
foul	5	0
total	326	108

Result

Final score

326 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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