Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

356.48 – 111.99

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

402 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 40.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 558.7 ±10.5

2367Lancer Robotics

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 4.79Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5700SOTA Cyberdragons

Season APEX 104.9Event APEX 36.93Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 314.76Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356 ±11.6

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 36.56Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1671Buchanan Bird Brains

Season APEX 267.1Event APEX 62.92Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9706R^3 (Redwood Ranger Robotics)

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 12.51Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2367, 5700, 1323

/ 100 compat

Projected

356.5 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2367, 5700, 1323

Auto

69.8 20%

Teleop

213.1 61%

Endgame

67.6 19%

Strengths

· 1323 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6657, 1671, 9706

/ 100 compat

Projected

112 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6657, 1671, 9706

Auto

24.3 25%

Teleop

51.2 53%

Endgame

21.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.68 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score356.5pts

Blue projected score112pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 244.5
Score range: 70–398
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 550 vs event baseline 233.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

558.7Season APEX356

69.8Auto24.3

213.1Teleop51.2

67.6Endgame21.2

65Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	15
teleop	273	91
endgame	60	32
foul	0	10
total	402	148

Result

Final score

402 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 40.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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