Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

379.45 – 200.92

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

262 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 124.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 554.6 ±11.7

11296Merced Fusion Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 31.38Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2367Lancer Robotics

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 14.49Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 333.58Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275 ±13.9

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 148.37Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6305Stable Circuits

Season APEX 93.6Event APEX 53.07Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4643Butte Built Bots

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -0.52Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11296, 2367, 254

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11296, 2367, 254

Auto

53.3 15%

Teleop

214.2 60%

Endgame

91.7 26%

Strengths

· 254 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5817, 6305, 4643

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5817, 6305, 4643

Auto

48.7 24%

Teleop

108.7 54%

Endgame

42.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score379.5pts

Blue projected score200.9pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 178.5
Score range: 158–422
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 237.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

554.6Season APEX275

53.3Auto48.7

214.2Teleop108.7

91.7Endgame42.7

82Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	42
teleop	136	19
endgame	31	9
foul	0	0
total	262	70

Result

Final score

262 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 124.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.