Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

343.61 – 383.79

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

266 – 570

Prediction correct · off by 131.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 440.5 ±11

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 133.1Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 166.65Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 43.86Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 608.8 ±11.7

100The Wildhats

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 39.27Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 308.46Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4765PWRUP

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 36.06Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3970, 5817, 9584

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3970, 5817, 9584

Auto

73.4 22%

Teleop

198.7 59%

Endgame

66.8 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 100, 254, 4765

/ 100 compat

Projected

383.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 100, 254, 4765

Auto

76.3 20%

Teleop

197.5 52%

Endgame

107.0 28%

Strengths

· 254 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score343.6pts

Blue projected score383.8pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.2
Score range: 302–426
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 836 vs event baseline 232.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

440.5Season APEX608.8

73.4Auto76.3

198.7Teleop197.5

66.8Endgame107

69Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	91
teleop	148	334
endgame	67	110
foul	0	35
total	266	570

Result

Final score

266 – 570

Prediction correct · off by 131.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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