Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

345.7 – 154.3

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

457 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 62 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 719.4 ±13.1

971Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 282.7Event APEX 43.51Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 313.78Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4643Butte Built Bots

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -11.59Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.4 ±11.6

1351TKO

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 61.53Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 69.73Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6822THE SHISHKABOTS

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 23.04Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 971, 1323, 4643

/ 100 compat

Projected

345.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 971, 1323, 4643

Auto

73.0 22%

Teleop

190.1 57%

Endgame

70.1 21%

Strengths

· 1323 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1351, 8793, 6822

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1351, 8793, 6822

Auto

24.5 16%

Teleop

68.5 44%

Endgame

61.3 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score345.7pts

Blue projected score154.3pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 191.4
Score range: 113–387
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 624 vs event baseline 229.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

719.4Season APEX277.4

73Auto24.5

190.1Teleop68.5

70.1Endgame61.3

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	27
teleop	272	88
endgame	99	52
foul	0	0
total	457	167

Result

Final score

457 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 62 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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