Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

224.85 – 709.87

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

278 – 748

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.9 ±10.4

114Eaglestrike

Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 67.42Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 118.5Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5700SOTA Cyberdragons

Season APEX 104.9Event APEX 38.93Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 940.6 ±9.3

6305Stable Circuits

Season APEX 93.6Event APEX 46.26Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 320.4Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 343.21Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 114, 5817, 5700

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 114, 5817, 5700

Auto

63.5 28%

Teleop

121.0 53%

Endgame

41.9 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6305, 1323, 254

/ 100 compat

Projected

709.9 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6305, 1323, 254

Auto

113.1 16%

Teleop

417.3 60%

Endgame

168.6 24%

Strengths

· 254 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224.9pts

Blue projected score709.9pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -485
Score range: 180–755
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1026 vs event baseline 250.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.9Season APEX940.6

63.5Auto113.1

121Teleop417.3

41.9Endgame168.6

20Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	83
teleop	173	453
endgame	45	207
foul	5	5
total	278	748

Result

Final score

278 – 748

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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