Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

162.49 – 117.35

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 105.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 490.2 ±11

1388Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 25.33Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1351TKO

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 55.7Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 81.46Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.7 ±11.6

2367Lancer Robotics

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 41.85Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

100The Wildhats

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 83.07Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5700SOTA Cyberdragons

Season APEX 104.9Event APEX -7.57Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1388, 1351, 3970

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1388, 1351, 3970

Auto

59.3 40%

Teleop

64.8 44%

Endgame

24.1 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2367, 100, 5700

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2367, 100, 5700

Auto

24.2 22%

Teleop

60.0 54%

Endgame

26.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score162.5pts

Blue projected score117.4pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.1
Score range: 78–201
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 219.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

490.2Season APEX249.7

59.3Auto24.2

64.8Teleop60

24.1Endgame26.1

111Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	18
teleop	190	14
endgame	51	16
foul	0	10
total	314	58

Result

Final score

314 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 105.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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