Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.61 – 199.82

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

147 – 116

Prediction missed · off by 57.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 350.9 ±11

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 79.24Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5700SOTA Cyberdragons

Season APEX 104.9Event APEX -26.54Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9706R^3 (Redwood Ranger Robotics)

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 63.91Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.9 ±14

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 123.17Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4643Butte Built Bots

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 0.41Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

1351TKO

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 76.24Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3970, 5700, 9706

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3970, 5700, 9706

Auto

43.9 39%

Teleop

55.3 50%

Endgame

12.0 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 973, 4643, 1351

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 973, 4643, 1351

Auto

59.9 30%

Teleop

98.3 49%

Endgame

41.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score116.6pts

Blue projected score199.8pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.2
Score range: 76–241
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 228.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

350.9Season APEX427.9

43.9Auto59.9

55.3Teleop98.3

12Endgame41.7

101Consistency143

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	46
teleop	76	49
endgame	32	1
foul	10	20
total	147	116

Result

Final score

147 – 116

Prediction missed · off by 57.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.