Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

294.38 – 67.01

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

302 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 7.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 699.2 ±9.9

100The Wildhats

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 34.27Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 192.62Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

971Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 282.7Event APEX 67.49Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.4 ±11.6

6822THE SHISHKABOTS

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 0.28Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3925Ventura Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 44.23Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2367Lancer Robotics

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 22.5Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 100, 973, 971

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 100, 973, 971

Auto

65.3 24%

Teleop

146.6 54%

Endgame

62.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6822, 3925, 2367

/ 100 compat

Projected

67 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6822, 3925, 2367

Auto

16.3 29%

Teleop

26.4 48%

Endgame

12.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.69 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score294.4pts

Blue projected score67pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 227.4
Score range: 22–339
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 250.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

699.2Season APEX209.4

65.3Auto16.3

146.6Teleop26.4

62Endgame12.6

30Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	15
teleop	141	11
endgame	70	9
foul	15	25
total	302	60

Result

Final score

302 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 7.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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