Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

688.69 – 369.92

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

662 – 404

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 891.7 ±9.9

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 321.35Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2367Lancer Robotics

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 23.28Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 344.06Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 609.9 ±9.8

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 133.64Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6305Stable Circuits

Season APEX 93.6Event APEX 44.97Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 191.31Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1323, 2367, 254

/ 100 compat

Projected

688.7 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1323, 2367, 254

Auto

121.5 18%

Teleop

408.9 60%

Endgame

147.9 22%

Strengths

· 254 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3970, 6305, 973

/ 100 compat

Projected

369.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3970, 6305, 973

Auto

74.2 21%

Teleop

199.4 56%

Endgame

83.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score688.7pts

Blue projected score369.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 318.8
Score range: 327–732
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1066 vs event baseline 241.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

891.7Season APEX609.9

121.5Auto74.2

408.9Teleop199.4

147.9Endgame83.4

0Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	56
teleop	390	190
endgame	164	158
foul	15	0
total	662	404

Result

Final score

662 – 404

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 pts

Match videos

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