Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

148 – 151.35

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.8 ±11.7

2288Hydra Robotics

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 11.6Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1967The Janksters

Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 64.21Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 72.19Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334.8 ±10.4

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 20.65Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 67.51Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1072Harker Robotics

Season APEX 141.9Event APEX 63.19Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2288, 1967, 7137

/ 100 compat

Projected

148 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2288, 1967, 7137

Auto

22.0 16%

Teleop

78.5 56%

Endgame

40.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6662, 253, 1072

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6662, 253, 1072

Auto

35.2 24%

Teleop

72.4 50%

Endgame

38.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score148pts

Blue projected score151.4pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.3
Score range: 121–178
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 150.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.8Season APEX334.8

22Auto35.2

78.5Teleop72.4

40.7Endgame38

9Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	38
teleop	27	60
endgame	40	24
foul	0	15
total	96	137

Result

Final score

96 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts

Match videos

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