Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

328.36 – 162.16

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

298 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.4 ±9.8

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 119.55Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

701RoboVikes

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 25.99Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 182.82Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.8 ±11.7

2288Hydra Robotics

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 16.41Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1967The Janksters

Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 68.91Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 76.84Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8, 701, 5507

/ 100 compat

Projected

328.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8, 701, 5507

Auto

67.8 21%

Teleop

202.7 63%

Endgame

53.8 17%

Strengths

· 5507 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2288, 1967, 7137

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2288, 1967, 7137

Auto

23.4 15%

Teleop

89.2 58%

Endgame

41.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score328.4pts

Blue projected score162.2pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 166.2
Score range: 135–355
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 148.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

616.4Season APEX347.8

67.8Auto23.4

202.7Teleop89.2

53.8Endgame41.4

36Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	15
teleop	168	23
endgame	74	38
foul	0	0
total	298	76

Result

Final score

298 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 pts

Match videos

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