Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
160.31 – 178.47
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
184 – 121
Prediction missed · off by 40.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 16.41Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 68.57Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 75.33Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271 ±13.3
Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 36.97Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 38.69Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 102.81Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2288, 1967, 7137
64
/ 100 compatProjected
160.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2288, 1967, 7137
Auto
25.9 17%
Teleop
87.7 59%
Endgame
36.1 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3189, 3669, 4159
72
/ 100 compatProjected
178.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3189, 3669, 4159
Auto
31.7 18%
Teleop
99.7 56%
Endgame
47.0 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score160.3pts
Blue projected score178.5pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -18.2
- Score range
- 134–204
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
347.8Season APEX271
25.9Auto31.7
87.7Teleop99.7
36.1Endgame47
6Consistency41
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 31 |
| teleop | 99 | 61 |
| endgame | 66 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 184 | 121 |
Result
Final score
184 – 121
Prediction missed · off by 40.6 pts
Match videos
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