Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
328.83 – 77.65
96%4%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
339 – 133
Prediction correct · off by 32.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 117.95Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 26.25Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 184.63Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 37.19Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 15.28Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 25.18Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8, 701, 5507
82
/ 100 compatProjected
328.8 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 8, 701, 5507
Auto
63.5 20%
Teleop
201.6 62%
Endgame
58.6 18%
Strengths
- · 5507 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5274, 8404, 852
45
/ 100 compatProjected
77.7 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5274, 8404, 852
Auto
20.7 27%
Teleop
33.9 44%
Endgame
23.2 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score328.8pts
Blue projected score77.7pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 251.2
- Score range
- 52–355
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
616.4Season APEX167.6
63.5Auto20.7
201.6Teleop33.9
58.6Endgame23.2
61Consistency29
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 86 | 24 |
| teleop | 210 | 59 |
| endgame | 43 | 50 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 339 | 133 |
Result
Final score
339 – 133
Prediction correct · off by 32.8 pts
Match videos
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