Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
94.97 – 84.97
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
81 – 36
Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 20.57Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 52.97Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 21.43Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158 ±13.9
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 20.57Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 49.71Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 14.69Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6662, 3669, 701
56
/ 100 compatProjected
95 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6662, 3669, 701
Auto
20.5 21%
Teleop
50.5 53%
Endgame
24.6 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2288, 9114, 8840
55
/ 100 compatProjected
85 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2288, 9114, 8840
Auto
21.9 26%
Teleop
41.9 49%
Endgame
21.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score95pts
Blue projected score85pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 10
- Score range
- 58–122
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
256.2Season APEX158
20.5Auto21.9
50.5Teleop41.9
24.6Endgame21.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 12 |
| teleop | 44 | 15 |
| endgame | 11 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 81 | 36 |
Result
Final score
81 – 36
Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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