Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

238.45 – 94.11

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

263 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 359.2 ±12.2

8016Eco Robotics

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 40.83Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 182.71Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2288Hydra Robotics

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 14.91Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.4 ±12.2

10212Circuit Bakers

Season APEX 62.8Event APEX 3.87Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1967The Janksters

Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 68.2Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

751barn2robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 22.04Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8016, 5507, 2288

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8016, 5507, 2288

Auto

40.8 18%

Teleop

143.4 63%

Endgame

45.1 20%

Strengths

· 5507 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10212, 1967, 751

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10212, 1967, 751

Auto

20.4 22%

Teleop

45.7 50%

Endgame

25.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score238.5pts

Blue projected score94.1pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144.3
Score range: 68–264
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 144.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

359.2Season APEX257.4

40.8Auto20.4

143.4Teleop45.7

45.1Endgame25.5

67Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	26
teleop	179	26
endgame	39	34
foul	0	15
total	263	101

Result

Final score

263 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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