Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

153.44 – 90

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 115.8 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 432.3 ±11

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 91.16Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 51.71Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 10.57Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.2 ±12.1

5924Golden Gate Robotics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 10.57Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 20.57Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 58.86Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5507, 7137, 1458

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5507, 7137, 1458

Auto

18.6 12%

Teleop

93.2 61%

Endgame

41.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5924, 3189, 6619

/ 100 compat

Projected

90 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5924, 3189, 6619

Auto

21.1 23%

Teleop

48.9 54%

Endgame

20.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score153.4pts

Blue projected score90pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.4
Score range: 66–177
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 475 vs event baseline 135.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

432.3Season APEX242.2

18.6Auto21.1

93.2Teleop48.9

41.6Endgame20

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	49
teleop	183	66
endgame	65	7
foul	45	0
total	353	122

Result

Final score

353 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 115.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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