Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
49.99 – 252.92
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
92 – 266
Prediction correct · off by 27.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 130.4 ±12.7
Season APEX 73Event APEX 40.84Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 26Event APEX -0.73Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 9.88Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 128.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 14.43Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 109.55Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5458, 5430, 5924
32
/ 100 compatProjected
50 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5458, 5430, 5924
Auto
21.0 35%
Teleop
21.1 35%
Endgame
17.6 29%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8048, 8404, 7667
84
/ 100 compatProjected
252.9 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8048, 8404, 7667
Auto
53.4 22%
Teleop
138.9 56%
Endgame
55.8 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score50pts
Blue projected score252.9pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -202.9
- Score range
- 24–279
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
130.4Season APEX387.9
21Auto53.4
21.1Teleop138.9
17.6Endgame55.8
23Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 49 |
| teleop | 53 | 157 |
| endgame | 23 | 45 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 92 | 266 |
Result
Final score
92 – 266
Prediction correct · off by 27.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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