Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.49 – 97.18

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

289 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 49.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.3 ±11.6

5274Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 34.29Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 98.21Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2135Presentation Invasion

Season APEX 151Event APEX 116.99Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.8 ±12.2

1072Harker Robotics

Season APEX 141.9Event APEX 50.45Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11243Cyber Knights

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 0.31Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 46.42Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5274, 6619, 2135

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5274, 6619, 2135

Auto

43.2 17%

Teleop

153.8 60%

Endgame

57.7 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1072, 11243, 1458

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1072, 11243, 1458

Auto

31.1 37%

Teleop

34.2 41%

Endgame

18.3 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score249.5pts

Blue projected score97.2pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 152.3
Score range: 71–275
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 143.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.3Season APEX285.8

43.2Auto31.1

153.8Teleop34.2

57.7Endgame18.3

42Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	24
teleop	163	95
endgame	39	37
foul	45	0
total	289	156

Result

Final score

289 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 49.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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