Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

101.34 – 85.56

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

155 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 267.9 ±11.7

5728MC2

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 19.09Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 72.51Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 9.74Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.9 ±12.8

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 22.93Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

701RoboVikes

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 31.84Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8840Bay Robotics

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 30.79Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5728, 7137, 6662

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5728, 7137, 6662

Auto

22.0 23%

Teleop

41.8 44%

Endgame

30.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7777, 701, 8840

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7777, 701, 8840

Auto

17.5 21%

Teleop

47.9 56%

Endgame

19.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score101.3pts

Blue projected score85.6pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.8
Score range: 60–127
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 143.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

267.9Season APEX186.9

22Auto17.5

41.8Teleop47.9

30.6Endgame19.4

20Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	15
teleop	60	20
endgame	52	0
foul	30	0
total	155	35

Result

Final score

155 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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