Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
216.76 – 69.83
86%14%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
328 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 63.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 554.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 110.57Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 94.57Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 11.62Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 183.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 21.09Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 6.56Rank 35Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 42.18Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8, 4159, 11463
78
/ 100 compatProjected
216.8 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 8, 4159, 11463
Auto
43.5 21%
Teleop
132.7 63%
Endgame
33.5 16%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9114, 9125, 3669
36
/ 100 compatProjected
69.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9114, 9125, 3669
Auto
15.9 21%
Teleop
27.4 37%
Endgame
30.7 41%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score216.8pts
Blue projected score69.8pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 146.9
- Score range
- 44–243
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
554.5Season APEX183.7
43.5Auto15.9
132.7Teleop27.4
33.5Endgame30.7
0Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 53 | 22 |
| teleop | 186 | 25 |
| endgame | 89 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 328 | 54 |
Result
Final score
328 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 63.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.