Qualification · Qualification 64
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
246.56 – 180.15
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
235 – 185
Prediction correct · off by 8.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 395.7 ±11
Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 70.43Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 44.16Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 131.97Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 46.91Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 110.6Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 22.64Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1967, 8016, 8048
82
/ 100 compatProjected
246.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 1967, 8016, 8048
Auto
53.6 23%
Teleop
146.0 62%
Endgame
36.1 15%
Strengths
- · 8048 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1458, 7667, 7777
71
/ 100 compatProjected
180.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1458, 7667, 7777
Auto
29.5 16%
Teleop
97.4 53%
Endgame
56.8 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score246.6pts
Blue projected score180.1pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 66.4
- Score range
- 154–273
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
395.7Season APEX281.5
53.6Auto29.5
146Teleop97.4
36.1Endgame56.8
50Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 38 | 26 |
| teleop | 146 | 103 |
| endgame | 46 | 41 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 235 | 185 |
Result
Final score
235 – 185
Prediction correct · off by 8.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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