Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.42 – 74.13

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

180 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.3 ±12.7

8404SKYWALKERS

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 11.55Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 94.15Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

852ARC Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 20.72Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.9 ±13.3

5728MC2

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 17.97Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2288Hydra Robotics

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 18.13Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 38.03Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8404, 6619, 852

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8404, 6619, 852

Auto

33.0 26%

Teleop

68.2 53%

Endgame

27.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5728, 2288, 3189

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5728, 2288, 3189

Auto

18.0 24%

Teleop

35.8 48%

Endgame

20.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.4pts

Blue projected score74.1pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.3
Score range: 48–152
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 143.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.3Season APEX208.9

33Auto18

68.2Teleop35.8

27.7Endgame20.3

38Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	17
teleop	112	31
endgame	39	16
foul	0	0
total	180	64

Result

Final score

180 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree