Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.5 – 288.03

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.8 ±11

2141Spartronics

Season APEX 52Event APEX 33.87Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1072Harker Robotics

Season APEX 141.9Event APEX 53.52Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 13.11Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.6 ±12.2

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 191.44Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3669CarbonKnights

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 48.58Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5458Digital Minds

Season APEX 73Event APEX 48.01Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2141, 1072, 6662

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2141, 1072, 6662

Auto

32.6 35%

Teleop

40.7 44%

Endgame

18.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5507, 3669, 5458

/ 100 compat

Projected

288 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5507, 3669, 5458

Auto

52.3 19%

Teleop

171.7 61%

Endgame

58.0 21%

Strengths

· 5507 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.5pts

Blue projected score288pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -187.5
Score range: 75–314
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 282 vs event baseline 144.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278.8Season APEX364.6

32.6Auto52.3

40.7Teleop171.7

18.7Endgame58

14Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	21
teleop	10	114
endgame	9	84
foul	0	0
total	63	219

Result

Final score

63 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree